Generating a calibration plot from Tidymodels - r

I have used Tidymodel to build a logistic regression model.
While I can extract the performance metrics, I would like to plot the agreement between predictions and observations (calibration plot)
But, have yet to find a method to do this - has anyone got experience with this?

tidymodels does not have a calibration plot function yet (I'm literally working on that now). I would suggest using the one in caret. I don't expect our work to be ready for a while.

Related

How to run model diagnostics and validate binomial GAMs?

I'm looking for methods to test the overall fit of a model, run model diagnostics to help with model selection and methods for model validation for binomial GAMs.
If knows of any way to do use this using R that would be extremely helpful as well (i.e packages and functions). I have heard of DHARMa, but am at a loss of how I would use the package.
Any links with more information would also be appreciated.
Currently, all I have been able to do is ROC curves and AUC values.
Thanks

Is it possible to visualize an individual tree from a random forest obtained via tidymodels?

Good day,
for presentation purposes I would like to plot a couple of decision trees from a random forest (with about 100 trees). I found a post from last year where its clear is not really possible or there is not an function using tidymodels. R: Tidymodels: Is it possible to plot the trees for a random forest model in tidy models?
I´m wondering if somebody has found a way! I remember I could easily do this using the "Caret" package, but tidymodels makes everything so convenient I was hoping for someone with a solution.
Many thanks!
Summarizing what trees can be ploted with tidymodels based in comments comments and other Stackoverflow posts
Decision trees. There are some options but the function rpart.plot()seems to be the most popular.
Individual tree from a random forest. Doesn´t seem to be possible to plot one (yet) using the tidymodel environment. See this post: here
XGBoost models: See Julia comment:
You should be able to use a function like xgb.plot.tree() with a
trained tidymodels workflow or parsnip model by extracting out the
underlying object created with the xgboost engine. You can do this
with extract_fit_engine()

Can MXNET fit a regression LSTM model in R?

I would like to fit an LSTM model using MXNET in R for the purpose of predicting a continuous response (i.e., regression) given several continuous predictors. However, the mx.lstm() function seems to be geared toward NLP as it requires arguments which don't seem applicable to a regression problem (such as those related to embedding).
Is MXNET capable of this sort of modeling and, if not, what is an example of an appropriate tool (preferably in R)? Are there any tutorials relevant to the problem I've described?
LSTM is used for working with temporal data: text, speech, time series. If you want to predict a continuous response, then I assume you want to do something similar to time series analysis.
If my assumption is correct, then, please, take a look here. It gives quite a good example on how to use MxNet with R for time series on CPU. The GPU version is also available here.

R - How to get one "summary" prediction map instead for 5 when using 5-fold cross-validation in maxent model?

I hope I have come to the right forum. I'm an ecologist making species distribution models using the maxent (version 3.3.3, http://www.cs.princeton.edu/~schapire/maxent/) function in R, through the dismo package. I have used the argument "replicates = 5" which tells maxent to do a 5-fold cross-validation. When running maxent from the maxent.jar file directly (the maxent software), an html file with statistics will be made, including the prediction maps. In R, an html file is also made, but the prediction maps have to be extracted afterwards, using the function "predict" in the dismo package in r. When I do this, I get 5 maps, due to the 5-fold cross-validation setting. However, (and this is the problem) I want only one output map, one "summary" prediction map. I assume this is possible, although I don't know how maxent computes it. The maxent tutorial (see link above) says that:
"...you may want to avoid eating up disk space by turning off the “write output grids” option, which will suppress writing of output grids for the replicate runs, so that you only get the summary statistics grids (avg, stderr etc.)."
A list of arguments that can be put into R is found in this forum https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/maxent/yRBlvZ1_9rQ.
I have tried to use the argument "outputgrids=FALSE" both in the maxent function itself, and in the predict function, but it doesn't work. I still get 5 maps, even though I don't get any errors in R.
So my question is: How do I get one "summary" prediction map instead of the five prediction maps that results from the cross-validation?
I hope someone can help me with this, I am really stuck and haven't found any answers anywhere on the internet. Not even a discussion about this. Hope my question is clear. This is the R-script that I use:
model1<-maxent(x=predvars, p=presence_points, a=target_group_absence, path="//home//...//model1", args=c("replicates=5", "outputgrids=FALSE"))
model1map<-predict(model1, predvars, filename="//home//...//model1map.tif", outputgrids=FALSE)
Best regards,
Kristin
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but based on the source code, it looks like Dismo's predict function does not have the ability to generate a summary map.
Nitty-gritty details for those who care: When you call maxent with replicates set to something greater than 1, the maxent function returns a MaxEntReplicates object, rather than a normal MaxEnt object. When predict receives a MaxEntReplicates object, it just iterates through all of the models that it contains and calls predict on them individually.
So, what next? Fortunately, all is not lost! The reason that Dismo doesn't have this functionality is that for most kinds of model-building, there isn't actually a valid way to average parameters across your cross-validation models. I don't want to go so far as to say that that's definitely the case for MaxEnt specifically, but I suspect it is. As such, cross-validation is usually used more as a way of checking that your model building methodology works for your data than as a way of building your model directly (see this question for further discussion of that point). After verifying via cross-validation that models built using a given procedure seem to be accurate for the phenomenon you're modelling, it's customary to build a final model using all of your data. In theory this new model should only be better than models trained on a subset of your data.
So basically, assuming your cross-validated models look reasonable, you can run MaxEnt again with only one replicate. Your final result will be a model accuracy estimate based on the cross-validation and a map based on the second run with all of your data lumped together. Depending on what exactly your question is, there might be other useful summary statistics from the cross-validation that you want to use, but those are all things you've already seen in the html output.
I may have found this a couple of years later. But you could do something like this:
xm <- maxent(predictors, pres_train) # basically the maxent model
px <- predict(predictors, xm, ext=ext, progress= '' ) #prediction
px2 <- predict(predictors, xm2, ext=ext, progress= '' ) #prediction #02
models <- stack(px,px2) # create a stack of prediction from all the models
final_map <- mean(px,px2) # Take a mean of all the prediction
plot(final_map) #plot the averaged map
xm1,xm2,.. would be the maxent models for each partitions in cross-validation, and px, px2,.. would be the predicted maps.

When to choose nls() over loess()?

If I have some (x,y) data, I can easily draw straight-line through it, e.g.
f=glm(y~x)
plot(x,y)
lines(x,f$fitted.values)
But for curvy data I want a curvy line. It seems loess() can be used:
f=loess(y~x)
plot(x,y)
lines(x,f$fitted)
This question has evolved as I've typed and researched it. I started off with wanting to a simple function to fit curvy data (where I know nothing about the data), and wanting to understand how to use nls() or optim() to do that. That was what everyone seemed to be suggesting in similar questions I found. But now I stumbled upon loess() I'm happy. So, now my question is why would someone choose to use nls or optim instead of loess (or smooth.spline)? Using the toolbox analogy, is nls a screwdriver and loess is a power-screwdriver (meaning I'd almost always choose the latter as it does the same thing but with less of my effort)? Or is nls a flat-head screwdriver and loess a cross-head screwdriver (meaning loess is a better fit for some problems, but for others it simply won't do the job)?
For reference, here is the play data I was using that loess gives satisfactory results for:
x=1:40
y=(sin(x/5)*3)+runif(x)
And:
x=1:40
y=exp(jitter(x,factor=30)^0.5)
Sadly, it does less well on this:
x=1:400
y=(sin(x/20)*3)+runif(x)
Can nls(), or any other function or library, cope with both this and the previous exp example, without being given a hint (i.e. without being told it is a sine wave)?
UPDATE: Some useful pages on the same theme on stackoverflow:
Goodness of fit functions in R
How to fit a smooth curve to my data in R?
smooth.spline "out of the box" gives good results on my 1st and 3rd examples, but terrible (it just joins the dots) on the 2nd example. However f=smooth.spline(x,y,spar=0.5) is good on all three.
UPDATE #2: gam() (from mgcv package) is great so far: it gives a similar result to loess() when that was better, and a similar result to smooth.spline() when that was better. And all without hints or extra parameters. The docs were so far over my head I felt like I was squinting at a plane flying overhead; but a bit of trial and error found:
#f=gam(y~x) #Works just like glm(). I.e. pointless
f=gam(y~s(x)) #This is what you want
plot(x,y)
lines(x,f$fitted)
Nonlinear-least squares is a means of fitting a model that is non-linear in the parameters. By fitting a model, I mean there is some a priori specified form for the relationship between the response and the covariates, with some unknown parameters that are to be estimated. As the model is non-linear in these parameters NLS is a means to estimate values for those coefficients by minimising a least-squares criterion in an iterative fashion.
LOESS was developed as a means of smoothing scatterplots. It has a very less well defined concept of a "model" that is fitted (IIRC there is no "model"). LOESS works by trying to identify pattern in the relationship between response and covariates without the user having to specify what form that relationship is. LOESS works out the relationship from the data themselves.
These are two fundamentally different ideas. If you know the data should follow a particular model then you should fit that model using NLS. You could always compare the two fits (NLS vs LOESS) to see if there is systematic variation from the presumed model etc - but that would show up in the NLS residuals.
Instead of LOESS, you might consider Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) fitted via gam() in recommended package mgcv. These models can be viewed as a penalised regression problem but allow for the fitted smooth functions to be estimated from the data like they are in LOESS. GAM extends GLM to allow smooth, arbitrary functions of covariates.
loess() is non-parametric, meaning you don't get a set of coefficients you can use later - it's not a model, just a fit line. nls() will give you coefficients you could use to build an equation and predict values with a different but similar data set - you can create a model with nls().

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