Efficient multivariate normal inference - r

I'm trying to implement a modified version of a Kalman filter, in which I have a n-dimensional Normal prior on my vector of n hidden variables, and then a sequence of m independent data vectors which are distributed with different-but-known covariance matrices according to the hidden variables.
More formally:
The generalised solution for the posterior distribution of any given hidden variable conditional on all previous observed variables is:
So it is fairly "easy" to compute the final posterior distribution – all you have to do is apply the above transformations iteratively, starting with your prior and using the known covariance matrices and observed values at each step i. So a potential way to code this, assuming I have a list Sigma with the known covariance matrices, a matrix O with the observed value vectors, and the other variables stored in Lambda, Delta, and mu, is:
inv_Sigma = solve (Sigma [[1]])
inv_Lambda_plus_Delta = solve (Delta)
Delta_i = solve (inv_Sigma + inv_Lambda_plus_Delta)
mu_i = Delta_i %*% (inv_Sigma %*% O [, 1] + inv_Lambda_plus_Delta %*% mu)
if (n > 1) {
for (i in seq (2, n)) {
inv_Sigma = solve (Sigma [[i]])
inv_Lambda_plus_Delta = solve (Lambda + Delta_i)
Delta_i = solve (inv_Sigma + inv_Lambda_plus_Delta)
mu_i = Delta_i %*% (inv_Sigma %*% O [, i] + inv_Lambda_plus_Delta %*% mu_i)
}
}
However, as the dimension of the vectors grows, having to calculate these matrix inverses iteratively over and over and over gets increasingly computationally expensive, to the point where (for the problem I want to solve) it's prohibitive. Is there a more efficient way to do this calculation, either with some already-existing function or package or with a more efficient implementation of matrix inversion? Is a simulation-based solution better for my problem?

Related

How to solve an objective function having an exponential term with a different base in CVXR?

I am using CVXR to solve a concave objective function. The decision variable (x) is one-dimensional and the objective function is the summation of 2 logarithmic terms in which the second term is exponential with different bases of “a and b” (e.g., a^x, b^x); “a and b” are constants.
My full objective function is:
(-x*sum(ln(y))) + ln((1-x)/((a^(1-x))-(b^(1-x))))
where y is a given 1-D vector of data.
When I add the second term having (a^x and b^x) to the objective function, I keep getting
Error in a^(1 - x): non-numeric argument to binary operator
Is there any atom function in CVXR that can be used to code constant^x?
Here is my code:
library(CVXR)
a <- 7
b <- 0.3
M=1000
x_i # is a given vector of 1-D data
x <- Variable(1)
nominator <- (1-x)
denominator <- (1/((a^(1-x))-(b^(1-x))))
obj <- (-xsum(log(x_i)) + Mlog(nominator/denominator)) # change M to the length of X_i later
constr <- list(x>0)
prob <- Problem(Maximize(obj), constr)
result <- solve(prob)
alpha_hat <- result$getValue(x)
Please tell me what I am doing wrong. I appreciate your help in advance.
do some math
2=e^log2
2^x=(e^log2)^x=e^(log2*x)
So, you can try
denominator <- 1/(exp(log(a)*(1-x)) - exp(log(b)*(1-x)))

How do I minimize a linear least squares function in R?

I'm reading Deep Learning by Goodfellow et al. and am trying to implement gradient descent as shown in Section 4.5 Example: Linear Least Squares. This is page 92 in the hard copy of the book.
The algorithm can be viewed in detail at https://www.deeplearningbook.org/contents/numerical.html with R implementation of linear least squares on page 94.
I've tried implementing in R, and the algorithm as implemented converges on a vector, but this vector does not seem to minimize the least squares function as required. Adding epsilon to the vector in question frequently produces a "minimum" less than the minimum outputted by my program.
options(digits = 15)
dim_square = 2 ### set dimension of square matrix
# Generate random vector, random matrix, and
set.seed(1234)
A = matrix(nrow = dim_square, ncol = dim_square, byrow = T, rlnorm(dim_square ^ 2)/10)
b = rep(rnorm(1), dim_square)
# having fixed A & B, select X randomly
x = rnorm(dim_square) # vector length of dim_square--supposed to be arbitrary
f = function(x, A, b){
total_vector = A %*% x + b # this is the function that we want to minimize
total = 0.5 * sum(abs(total_vector) ^ 2) # L2 norm squared
return(total)
}
f(x,A,b)
# how close do we want to get?
epsilon = 0.1
delta = 0.01
value = (t(A) %*% A) %*% x - t(A) %*% b
L2_norm = (sum(abs(value) ^ 2)) ^ 0.5
steps = vector()
while(L2_norm > delta){
x = x - epsilon * value
value = (t(A) %*% A) %*% x - t(A) %*% b
L2_norm = (sum(abs(value) ^ 2)) ^ 0.5
print(L2_norm)
}
minimum = f(x, A, b)
minimum
minimum_minus = f(x - 0.5*epsilon, A, b)
minimum_minus # less than the minimum found by gradient descent! Why?
On page 94 of the pdf appearing at https://www.deeplearningbook.org/contents/numerical.html
I am trying to find the values of the vector x such that f(x) is minimized. However, as demonstrated by the minimum in my code, and minimum_minus, minimum is not the actual minimum, as it exceeds minimum minus.
Any idea what the problem might be?
Original Problem
Finding the value of x such that the quantity Ax - b is minimized is equivalent to finding the value of x such that Ax - b = 0, or x = (A^-1)*b. This is because the L2 norm is the euclidean norm, more commonly known as the distance formula. By definition, distance cannot be negative, making its minimum identically zero.
This algorithm, as implemented, actually comes quite close to estimating x. However, because of recursive subtraction and rounding one quickly runs into the problem of underflow, resulting in massive oscillation, below:
Value of L2 Norm as a function of step size
Above algorithm vs. solve function in R
Above we have the results of A %% x followed by A %% min_x, with x estimated by the implemented algorithm and min_x estimated by the solve function in R.
The problem of underflow, well known to those familiar with numerical analysis, is probably best tackled by the programmers of lower-level libraries best equipped to tackle it.
To summarize, the algorithm appears to work as implemented. Important to note, however, is that not every function will have a minimum (think of a straight line), and also be aware that this algorithm should only be able to find a local, as opposed to a global minimum.

Computing eigenvectors given shrinkage eigenvalues

I used the function linshrink of the nlshrink package to have a shrinkage estimation of the eigenvalues of a symmetric matrix M. Unfortunately the function does not return the eigenvectors, which I also need. How can I manually compute them? I thought about applying the definition and use (M − λI)x = 0 for every eigenvalue λ, but I'm not sure how to properly do it, since computing the matrix A = M − λI and using it as an input in solve(A,b) with b=rep(0,nrow(M)) obviously returns a vector of zero. Can anybody help me? Here are a few lines to provide a working example:
library(nlshrink)
M <- matrix(1:16,4)
M[lower.tri(M)] = t(M)[lower.tri(M)]
M <- M/16.1
shrinkval <- linshrink(M) #eigenvalues

Vectorizing code to calculate (squared) Mahalanobis Distiance

EDIT 2: this post seems to have been moved from CrossValidated to StackOverflow due to it being mostly about programming, but that means by fancy MathJax doesn't work anymore. Hopefully this is still readable.
Say I want to to calculate the squared Mahalanobis distance between two vectors x and y with covariance matrix S. This is a fairly simple function defined by
M2(x, y; S) = (x - y)^T * S^-1 * (x - y)
With python's numpy package I can do this as
# x, y = numpy.ndarray of shape (n,)
# s_inv = numpy.ndarray of shape (n, n)
diff = x - y
d2 = diff.T.dot(s_inv).dot(diff)
or in R as
diff <- x - y
d2 <- t(diff) %*% s_inv %*% diff
In my case, though, I am given
m by n matrix X
n-dimensional vector mu
n by n covariance matrix S
and want to find the m-dimensional vector d such that
d_i = M2(x_i, mu; S) ( i = 1 .. m )
where x_i is the ith row of X.
This is not difficult to accomplish using a simple loop in python:
d = numpy.zeros((m,))
for i in range(m):
diff = x[i,:] - mu
d[i] = diff.T.dot(s_inv).dot(diff)
Of course, given that the outer loop is happening in python instead of in native code in the numpy library means it's not as fast as it could be. $n$ and $m$ are about 3-4 and several hundred thousand respectively and I'm doing this somewhat often in an interactive program so a speedup would be very useful.
Mathematically, the only way I've been able to formulate this using basic matrix operations is
d = diag( X' * S^-1 * X'^T )
where
x'_i = x_i - mu
which is simple to write a vectorized version of, but this is unfortunately outweighed by the inefficiency of calculating a 10-billion-plus element matrix and only taking the diagonal... I believe this operation should be easily expressible using Einstein notation, and thus could hopefully be evaluated quickly with numpy's einsum function, but I haven't even begun to figure out how that black magic works.
So, I would like to know: is there either a nicer way to formulate this operation mathematically (in terms of simple matrix operations), or could someone suggest some nice vectorized (python or R) code that does this efficiently?
BONUS QUESTION, for the brave
I don't actually want to do this once, I want to do it k ~ 100 times. Given:
m by n matrix X
k by n matrix U
Set of n by n covariance matrices each denoted S_j (j = 1..k)
Find the m by k matrix D such that
D_i,j = M(x_i, u_j; S_j)
Where i = 1..m, j = 1..k, x_i is the ith row of X and u_j is the jth row of U.
I.e., vectorize the following code:
# s_inv is (k x n x n) array containing "stacked" inverses
# of covariance matrices
d = numpy.zeros( (m, k) )
for j in range(k):
for i in range(m):
diff = x[i, :] - u[j, :]
d[i, j] = diff.T.dot(s_inv[j, :, :]).dot(diff)
First off, it seems like maybe you're getting S and then inverting it. You shouldn't do that; it's slow and numerically inaccurate. Instead, you should get the Cholesky factor L of S so that S = L L^T; then
M^2(x, y; L L^T)
= (x - y)^T (L L^T)^-1 (x - y)
= (x - y)^T L^-T L^-1 (x - y)
= || L^-1 (x - y) ||^2,
and since L is triangular L^-1 (x - y) can be computed efficiently.
As it turns out, scipy.linalg.solve_triangular will happily do a bunch of these at once if you reshape it properly:
L = np.linalg.cholesky(S)
y = scipy.linalg.solve_triangular(L, (X - mu[np.newaxis]).T, lower=True)
d = np.einsum('ij,ij->j', y, y)
Breaking that down a bit, y[i, j] is the ith component of L^-1 (X_j - \mu). The einsum call then does
d_j = \sum_i y_{ij} y_{ij}
= \sum_i y_{ij}^2
= || y_j ||^2,
like we need.
Unfortunately, solve_triangular won't vectorize across its first argument, so you should probably just loop there. If k is only about 100, that's not going to be a significant issue.
If you are actually given S^-1 rather than S, then you can indeed do this with einsum more directly. Since S is quite small in your case, it's also possible that actually inverting the matrix and then doing this would be faster. As soon as n is a nontrivial size, though, you're throwing away a lot of numerical accuracy by doing this.
To figure out what to do with einsum, write everything in terms of components. I'll go straight to the bonus case, writing S_j^-1 = T_j for notational convenience:
D_{ij} = M^2(x_i, u_j; S_j)
= (x_i - u_j)^T T_j (x_i - u_j)
= \sum_k (x_i - u_j)_k ( T_j (x_i - u_j) )_k
= \sum_k (x_i - u_j)_k \sum_l (T_j)_{k l} (x_i - u_j)_l
= \sum_{k l} (X_{i k} - U_{j k}) (T_j)_{k l} (X_{i l} - U_{j l})
So, if we make arrays X of shape (m, n), U of shape (k, n), and T of shape (k, n, n), then we can write this as
diff = X[np.newaxis, :, :] - U[:, np.newaxis, :]
D = np.einsum('jik,jkl,jil->ij', diff, T, diff)
where diff[j, i, k] = X_[i, k] - U[j, k].
Dougal nailed this one with an excellent and detailed answer, but thought I'd share a small modification that I found increases efficiency in case anyone else is trying to implement this. Straight to the point:
Dougal's method was as follows:
def mahalanobis2(X, mu, sigma):
L = np.linalg.cholesky(sigma)
y = scipy.linalg.solve_triangular(L, (X - mu[np.newaxis,:]).T, lower=True)
return np.einsum('ij,ij->j', y, y)
A mathematically equivalent variant I tried is
def mahalanobis2_2(X, mu, sigma):
# Cholesky decomposition of inverse of covariance matrix
# (Doing this in either order should be equivalent)
linv = np.linalg.cholesky(np.linalg.inv(sigma))
# Just do regular matrix multiplication with this matrix
y = (X - mu[np.newaxis,:]).dot(linv)
# Same as above, but note different index at end because the matrix
# y is transposed here compared to above
return np.einsum('ij,ij->i', y, y)
Ran both versions head-to-head 20x using identical random inputs and recorded the times (in milliseconds). For X as a 1,000,000 x 3 matrix (mu and sigma 3 and 3x3) I get:
Method 1 (min/max/avg): 30/62/49
Method 2 (min/max/avg): 30/47/37
That's about a 30% speedup for the 2nd version. I'm mostly going to be running this in 3 or 4 dimensions but to see how it scaled I tried X as 1,000,000 x 100 and got:
Method 1 (min/max/avg): 970/1134/1043
Method 2 (min/max/avg): 776/907/837
which is about the same improvement.
I mentioned this in a comment on Dougal's answer but adding here for additional visibility:
The first pair of methods above take a single center point mu and covariance matrix sigma and calculate the squared Mahalanobis distance to each row of X. My bonus question was to do this multiple times with many sets of mu and sigma and output a two-dimensional matrix. The set of methods above can be used to accomplish this with a simple for loop, but Dougal also posted a more clever example using einsum.
I decided to compare these methods with each other by using them to solve the following problem: Given k d-dimensional normal distributions (with centers stored in rows of k by d matrix U and covariance matrices in the last two dimensions of the k by d by d array S), find the density at the n points stored in rows of the n by d matrix X.
The density of a multivariate normal distribution is a function of the squared Mahalanobis distance of the point to the mean. Scipy has an implementation of this as scipy.stats.multivariate_normal.pdf to use as a reference. I ran all three methods against each other 10x using identical random parameters each time, with d=3, k=96, n=5e5. Here are the results, in points/sec:
[Method]: (min/max/avg)
Scipy: 1.18e5/1.29e5/1.22e5
Fancy 1: 1.41e5/1.53e5/1.48e5
Fancy 2: 8.69e4/9.73e4/9.03e4
Fancy 2 (cheating version): 8.61e4/9.88e4/9.04e4
where Fancy 1 is the better of the two methods above and Fancy2 is Dougal's 2nd solution. Since the Fancy 2 needs to calculate the inverses of all the covariance matrices I also tried a "cheating version" where it was passed these as a parameter, but it looks like that didn't make a difference. I had planned on including the non-vectorized implementation but that was so slow it would have taken all day.
What we can take away from this is that using Dougal's first method is about 20% faster than however Scipy does it. Unfortunately despite its cleverness the 2nd method is only about 60% as fast as the first. There are probably some other optimizations that can be done but this is already fast enough for me.
I also tested how this scaled with higher dimensionality. With d=100, k=96, n=1e4:
Scipy: 7.81e3/7.91e3/7.86e3
Fancy 1: 1.03e4/1.15e4/1.08e4
Fancy 2: 3.75e3/4.10e3/3.95e3
Fancy 2 (cheating version): 3.58e3/4.09e3/3.85e3
Fancy 1 seems to have an even bigger advantage this time. Also worth noting that Scipy threw a LinAlgError 8/10 times, probably because some of my randomly-generated 100x100 covariance matrices were close to singular (which may mean that the other two methods are not as numerically stable, I did not actually check the results).

How to minimise two or more equations in R

I am trying to find an iterative way to solve these two M-estimater equations with two unknown parameters.
For each patient, we measure his blood pressure twice $Y_{i1}$ and $Y_{i2}$ and note his alcohol consumption $X_i$. We have given the following M-estimators and have proven these give unbiased results:
$$\sum\limits_{i=1}^n\sum\limits_{j=1}^2\big(Y_{ij}-\beta_0-\beta_1X_i\big)=0\quad\mbox{and }
\sum\limits_{i=1}^n\sum\limits_{j=1}^2\big(Y_{i}-\beta_0-\beta_1X_i\big)X_i=0$$
(Where using OLS or maximum likelihood we assume all the measurements are independent).
I know it is possible to solve these analytically, but in case these two equations would be very complex, how do I solve these numerically in R?
Is there something like nlm for multiple equations?
What I should have done is minimise the norm of the two equations, and nlm is able to minimise a function with two unknown variables. This R script works fine:
y <- data_long$y
x <- data_long$x
f <- function(beta){
temp_1 <- sum(y - beta[1] - beta[2] * x)
temp_2 <- sum(x*(y - beta[1] - beta[2] * x))
sqrt(temp_1^2 + temp_2^2)
}
m_estimator <- nlm(f, c(0,0))
With data_long my simulated data, and beta my two estimates.

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