Computing slope of changing data - r

In R, I have a dataset of (x, y) points that is constantly being updated via simulation (values are appended to the end of the dataset).
I would like to compute the slope (via a linear model) of the line created by the data using only the last 10 listed datapoints.
The confusion here arises from the fact that the data are changing, and so I suspect a loop may be needed to iterate over the indices of the datapoints.
In R, one usually does something like
linreg <- lm(y ~ x, data = d) # set up linear model
summary.linreg <- summary(linreg) # output summary of model
beta1 <- coef(summary.linreg)[2] # extract slope
The change that is needed in my case is in linreg, specifically
linreg <- lm(y[?] ~ x[?], data = d) # subset response and predictor
For a non-changing dataset of 10 x-y points, one simply does [?] = [1:10] and the problem is solved. In my case though, I am at a standstill as to the best way to proceed efficiently.
Any thoughts?

No, don't subset inside the formula. Subset the data.frame. Inside your loop, after each database update, do this:
linreg <- lm(y ~ x, data = tail(d, 10))
If you want to loop over a data.frame rows, do this:
linreg <- lm(y ~ x, data = d[i:(i+9),])
If your data.frame is large and you only need the slope, you should use the more low-level function lm.fit for better performance. There might also be packages that provide functions for rolling regression.

Related

r-squared by groups in linear regression

I have calculated a linear regression using all the elements of my dataset (24), and the resulting model is IP2. Now I want to know how well that single model fits (r-squared, I am not interested in the slope and intercept) for each country in my dataset. The awful way to do is (I would need to do the following 200 times)
Country <- c("A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B")
IP <- c(55,56,59,63,67,69,69,73,74,74,79,87,0,22,24,26,26,31,37,41,43,46,46,47)
IP2 <- c(46,47,49,50,53,55,53,57,60,57,58,63,0,19,20,21,22,25,26,28,29,30,31,31)
summary(lm(IP[Country=="A"] ~ IP2[Country=="A"]))
summary(lm(IP[Country=="B"] ~ IP2[Country=="B"]))
Is there a way of calculating both r-squared at the same time? I tried with Linear Regression and group by in R as well as some others posts (Fitting several regression models with dplyr), but it did not work, and I get the same coefficients for the four groups I am working with.
Any idea on what I am doing wrong or how to solve the problem?
Thank you
A couple of options with base R:
sapply(unique(Country), function(cn)
summary(lm(IP[Country == cn] ~ IP2[Country == cn]))$r.sq)
# A B
# 0.9451881 0.9496636
and
c(by(data.frame(IP, IP2), Country, function(x) summary(lm(x))$r.sq))
# A B
# 0.9451881 0.9496636
or
sapply(split(data.frame(IP, IP2), Country), function(x) summary(lm(x))$r.sq)
# A B
# 0.9451881 0.9496636
You can use the split function and then mapply to accomplish this.
split takes a vector and turns it into a list with k elements where k is the distinct levels of (in this case) Country.
mapply allows us to loop over multiple inputs.
getR2 is a simple function that takes two inputs, fits a model and then extracts the R^2 value.
Code example below
Country <- c("A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","A","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B","B")
IP <- c(55,56,59,63,67,69,69,73,74,74,79,87,0,22,24,26,26,31,37,41,43,46,46,47)
IP2 <- c(46,47,49,50,53,55,53,57,60,57,58,63,0,19,20,21,22,25,26,28,29,30,31,31)
ip_split = split(IP,Country)
ip2_split = split(IP2,Country)
getR2 = function(ip,ip2){
model = lm(ip~ip2)
return(summary(model)$r.squared)
}
r2.values = mapply(getR2,ip_split,ip2_split)
r2.values
#> A B
#> 0.9451881 0.9496636

How to create a loop for Regression

I just started using R for statistical purposes and I appreciate any kind of help.
My task is to make calculations on one index and 20 stocks from the index. The data contains 22 columns (DATE, INDEX, S1 .... S20) and about 4000 rows (one row per day).
Firstly I imported the .csv file, called it "dataset" and calculated log returns this way and did it for all stocks "S1-S20" plus the INDEX.
n <- nrow(dataset)
S1 <- dataset$S1
S1_logret <- log(S1[2:n])-log(S1[1:(n-1)])
Secondly, I stored the data in a data.frame:
logret_data <- data.frame(INDEX_logret, S1_logret, S2_logret, S3_logret, S4_logret, S5_logret, S6_logret, S7_logret, S8_logret, S9_logret, S10_logret, S11_logret, S12_logret, S13_logret, S14_logret, S15_logret, S16_logret, S17_logret, S18_logret, S19_logret, S20_logret)
Then I ran the regression (S1 to S20) using the log returns:
S1_Reg1 <- lm(S1_logret~INDEX_logret)
I couldn't figure out how to write the code in a more efficient way and use some function for repetition.
In a further step I have to run a cross sectional regression for each day in a selected interval. It is impossible to do it manually and R should provide some quick solution. I am quite insecure about how to do this part. But I would also like to use kind of loop for the previous calculations.
Yet I lack the necessary R coding knowledge. Any kind of help top the point or advise for literature or tutorial is highly appreciated! Thank you!
You could provide all the separate dependent variables in a matrix to run your regressions. Something like this:
#example data
Y1 <- rnorm(100)
Y2 <- rnorm(100)
X <- rnorm(100)
df <- data.frame(Y1, Y2, X)
#run all models at once
lm(as.matrix(df[c('Y1', 'Y2')]) ~ X)
Out:
Call:
lm(formula = as.matrix(df[c("Y1", "Y2")]) ~ df$X)
Coefficients:
Y1 Y2
(Intercept) -0.15490 -0.08384
df$X -0.15026 -0.02471

R: Finding solutions for new x values with nlmrt

Good day,
I have tried to figure this out, but I really can't!! I'll supply an example of my data in R:
x <- c(36,71,106,142,175,210,246,288,357)
y <- c(19.6,20.9,19.8,21.2,17.6,23.6,20.4,18.9,17.2)
table <- data.frame(x,y)
library(nlmrt)
curve <- "y~ a + b*exp(-0.01*x) + (c*x)"
ones <- list(a=1, b=1, c=1)
Then I use wrapnls to fit the curve and to find a solution:
solve <- wrapnls(curve, data=table, start=ones, trace=FALSE)
This is all fine and works for me. Then, using the following, I obtain a prediction of y for each of the x values:
predict(solve)
But how do I find the prediction of y for new x values? For instance:
new_x <- c(10, 30, 50, 70)
I have tried:
predict(solve, new_x)
predict(solve, 10)
It just gives the same output as:
predict(solve)
I really hope someone can help! I know if I use the values of 'solve' for parameters a, b, and c and substitute them into the curve formula with the desired x value that I would be able to this, but I'm wondering if there is a simpler option. Also, without plotting the data first.
Predict requires the new data to be a data.frame with column names that match the variable names used in your model (whether your model has one or many variables). All you need to do is use
predict(solve, data.frame(x=new_x))
# [1] 18.30066 19.21600 19.88409 20.34973
And that will give you a prediction for just those 4 values. It's somewhat unfortunate that any mistakes in specifying the new data results in the fitted values for the original model being returned. An error message probably would have been more useful, but oh well.

R extract regression coefficients from multiply regression via lapply command

I have a large dataset with several variables, one of which is a state variable, coded 1-50 for each state. I'd like to run a regression of 28 variables on the remaining 27 variables of the dataset (there are 55 variables total), and specific for each state.
In other words, run a regression of variable1 on covariate1, covariate2, ..., covariate27 for observations where state==1. I'd then like to repeat this for variable1 for states 2-50, and the repeat the whole process for variable2, variable3,..., variable28.
I think I've written the correct R code to do this, but the next thing I'd like to do is extract the coefficients, ideally into a coefficient matrix. Could someone please help me with this? Here's the code I've written so far:
for (num in 1:50) {
#PUF is the data set I'm using
#Subset the data by states
PUFnum <- subset(PUF, state==num)
#Attach data set with state specific data
attach(PUFnum)
#Run our prediction regression
#the variables class1 through e19700 are the 27 covariates I want to use
regression <- lapply(PUFnum, function(z) lm(z ~ class1+class2+class3+class4+class5+class6+class7+
xtot+e00200+e00300+e00600+e00900+e01000+p04470+e04800+
e09600+e07180+e07220+e07260+e06500+e10300+
e59720+e11900+e18425+e18450+e18500+e19700))
Beta <- lapply(regression, function(d) d<- coef(regression$d))
detach(PUFnum)
}
This is another example of the classic Split-Apply-Combine problem, which can be addressed using the plyr package by #hadley. In your problem, you want to
Split data frame by state
Apply regressions for each subset
Combine coefficients into data frame.
I will illustrate it with the Cars93 dataset available in MASS library. We are interested in figuring out the relationship between horsepower and enginesize based on origin of country.
# LOAD LIBRARIES
require(MASS); require(plyr)
# SPLIT-APPLY-COMBINE
regressions <- dlply(Cars93, .(Origin), lm, formula = Horsepower ~ EngineSize)
coefs <- ldply(regressions, coef)
Origin (Intercept) EngineSize
1 USA 33.13666 37.29919
2 non-USA 15.68747 55.39211
EDIT. For your example, substitute PUF for Cars93, state for Origin and fm for the formula
I've cleaned up your code slightly:
fm <- z ~ class1+class2+class3+class4+class5+class6+class7+
xtot+e00200+e00300+e00600+e00900+e01000+p04470+e04800+
e09600+e07180+e07220+e07260+e06500+e10300+
e59720+e11900+e18425+e18450+e18500+e19700
PUFsplit <- split(PUF, PUF$state)
mod <- lapply(PUFsplit, function(z) lm(fm, data=z))
Beta <- sapply(mod, coef)
If you wanted, you could even put this all in one line:
Beta <- sapply(lapply(split(PUF, PUF$state), function(z) lm(fm, data=z)), coef)

Create function to automatically create plots from summary(fit <- lm( y ~ x1 + x2 +... xn))

I am running the same regression with small alterations of x variables several times. My aim is after having determined the fit and significance of each variable for this linear regression model to view all all major plots. Instead of having to create each plot one by one, I want a function to loop through my variables (x1...xn) from the following list.
fit <-lm( y ~ x1 + x2 +... xn))
The plots I want to create for all x are
1) 'x versus y' for all x in the function above
2) 'x versus predicted y
3) x versus residuals
4) x versus time, where time is not a variable used in the regression but provided in the dataframe the data comes from.
I know how to access the coefficients from fit, however I am not able to use the coefficient names from the summary and reuse them in a function for creating the plots, as the names are characters.
I hope my question has been clearly described and hasn't been asked already.
Thanks!
Create some mock data
dat <- data.frame(x1=rnorm(100), x2=rnorm(100,4,5), x3=rnorm(100,8,27),
x4=rnorm(100,-6,0.1), t=(1:100)+runif(100,-2,2))
dat <- transform(dat, y=x1+4*x2+3.6*x3+4.7*x4+rnorm(100,3,50))
Make the fit
fit <- lm(y~x1+x2+x3+x4, data=dat)
Compute the predicted values
dat$yhat <- predict(fit)
Compute the residuals
dat$resid <- residuals(fit)
Get a vector of the variable names
vars <- names(coef(fit))[-1]
A plot can be made using this character representation of the name if you use it to build a string version of a formula and translate that. The four plots are below, and the are wrapped in a loop over all the vars. Additionally, this is surrounded by setting ask to TRUE so that you get a chance to see each plot. Alternatively you arrange multiple plots on the screen, or write them all to files to review later.
opar <- par(ask=TRUE)
for (v in vars) {
plot(as.formula(paste("y~",v)), data=dat)
plot(as.formula(paste("yhat~",v)), data=dat)
plot(as.formula(paste("resid~",v)), data=dat)
plot(as.formula(paste("t~",v)), data=dat)
}
par(opar)
The coefficients are stored in the fit objects as you say, but you can access them generically in a function by referring to them this way:
x <- 1:10
y <- x*3 + rnorm(1)
plot(x,y)
fit <- lm(y~x)
fit$coefficient[1] # intercept
fit$coefficient[2] # slope
str(fit) # a lot of info, but you can see how the fit is stored
My guess is when you say you know how to access the coefficients you are getting them from summary(fit) which is a bit harder to access than taking them directly from the fit. By using fit$coeff[1] etc you don't have to have the name of the variable in your function.
Three options to directly answer what I think was the question: How to access the coefficients using character arguments:
x <- 1:10
y <- x*3 + rnorm(1)
fit <- lm(y~x)
# 1
fit$coefficient["x"]
# 2
coefname <- "x"
fit$coefficient[coefname]
#3
coef(fit)[coefname]
If the question was how to plot the various functions then you should supply a sufficiently complex construction (in R) to allow demonstration of methods with a well-specified set of objects.

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